Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Klarna Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Bengals O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Buccaneers O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 99% |
| O/U 39.5 | 99% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 99% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 99% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| O/U 50.5 | 95% |
| O/U 51.5 | 95% |
| O/U 52.5 | 94% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Bengals O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| Spread -1.5 | 83% |
| O/U 54.5 | 83% |
| O/U 53.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 77% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 76% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 72% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 70% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| O/U 57.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 59% |
| O/U 59.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Spread -8.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 67.5 | 51% |
| Bengals O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -19.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 25% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Buccaneers vs. Bengals. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is po…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $566K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Buccaneers vs. Bengals auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Klarna Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Klarna Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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