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Prognose: Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Prognose: Cavaliers vs. Hawks", direkt vom Polygon-Orderbuch — plus Vergleich aller relevanten Plattformen.

O/U 209.5 94% O/U 211.5 94% 1Q O/U 46.5 93% 4Q O/U 47.5 92% Volumen: $558K Liquidität: $3.6M Schließt: 29 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Klarna Wetten) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Auf Polymarket ansehen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Auf Polymarket ansehen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Auf Polymarket ansehen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Auf Polymarket ansehen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Auf Polymarket ansehen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
O/U 209.594%
O/U 211.594%
1Q O/U 46.593%
4Q O/U 47.592%
O/U 213.591%
O/U 215.590%
1Q O/U 48.590%
O/U 217.588%
4Q O/U 49.587%
O/U 219.585%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.584%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 49.584%
O/U 221.582%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.582%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.580%
O/U 223.579%
4Q O/U 51.579%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 47.576%
O/U 225.575%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 1.575%
1Q O/U 52.575%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.574%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 5.572%
4Q O/U 53.572%
O/U 227.571%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.571%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.570%
1H O/U 105.570%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.569%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.569%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.569%
O/U 229.568%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.568%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 1.568%
1H O/U 107.568%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.567%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.567%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.567%
1H O/U 109.567%
1Q O/U 54.567%
James Harden: Points O/U 14.565%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 51.565%
O/U 231.564%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.564%
4Q O/U 55.564%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.563%
James Harden: Points O/U 9.563%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.563%
1H O/U 111.563%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.562%
James Harden: Assists O/U 5.562%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 1.562%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.561%
O/U 233.560%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.560%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.560%
1Q O/U 56.560%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.559%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.559%
James Harden: Points O/U 16.557%
O/U 235.556%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.556%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.556%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.556%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 1.556%
1H O/U 113.556%
Hawks O/U 117.555%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.554%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.553%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.553%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.553%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 1.553%
2Q O/U 56.552%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 14.551%
James Harden: Assists O/U 1.551%
Hawks O/U 107.551%
Hawks O/U 111.551%
Hawks O/U 115.551%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.551%
Cavaliers O/U 111.551%
Cavaliers O/U 113.551%
Cavaliers O/U 115.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
O/U 237.550%
Spread -1.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 115.550%
1H Spread -18.550%
1H Spread -16.550%
1H Spread -14.550%
1H Spread -12.550%
1H Spread -10.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Spread -6.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -7.550%
1H Spread -9.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
1H Spread -13.550%
1H Spread -15.550%
1H Spread -17.550%
1H O/U 99.550%
1H O/U 101.550%
1H O/U 103.550%
1H O/U 121.550%
1H O/U 123.550%
1H O/U 125.550%
1H O/U 127.550%
1H O/U 129.550%
1H O/U 131.550%
1Q O/U 58.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q O/U 52.550%
2Q O/U 54.550%
2Q O/U 60.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 56.550%
3Q O/U 58.550%
3Q O/U 60.550%
3Q O/U 62.550%
3Q O/U 64.550%
3Q O/U 66.550%
3Q O/U 68.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
Hawks O/U 109.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 53.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 55.550%
Hawks O/U 113.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 57.550%
Hawks O/U 123.550%
Cavaliers O/U 123.550%
Hawks O/U 125.550%
Cavaliers O/U 125.550%
Cavaliers O/U 129.550%
Hawks O/U 127.550%
Cavaliers O/U 127.550%
Hawks O/U 129.550%
Cavaliers O/U 131.550%
Hawks O/U 131.550%
Hawks O/U 121.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 59.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 61.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 55.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 57.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 59.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 61.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 63.550%
Cavaliers O/U 107.550%
Cavaliers O/U 109.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.550%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.550%
2Q Spread -7.550%
2Q Spread -11.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q O/U 66.550%
2Q O/U 44.550%
2Q O/U 46.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q O/U 72.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
4Q Spread -12.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 47.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 49.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 51.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 63.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 65.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 67.550%
Cavaliers vs. Hawks49%
Spread -0.549%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.549%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.549%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 34.549%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 4.549%
Race to 1048%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 9.548%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.548%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.548%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.548%
1H Moneyline48%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 29.548%
4Q O/U 59.548%
Hawks O/U 119.548%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.547%
James Harden: Points O/U 17.547%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.547%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.547%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.547%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 4.547%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.547%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.547%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 3.547%
James Harden: Assists O/U 3.547%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 4.547%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.547%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.547%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.547%
Cavaliers O/U 119.547%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.547%
Spread -1.546%
Spread -2.546%
O/U 239.546%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.546%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 9.546%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.546%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.546%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 0.545%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.545%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.545%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
1Q Spread -1.544%
1Q O/U 50.544%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.544%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.543%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.543%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.543%
1H O/U 117.543%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 4.543%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.543%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.543%
Spread -3.542%
Spread -2.542%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.542%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.542%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.542%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.542%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.542%
1H Spread -2.542%
1H Spread -1.542%
1Q O/U 60.542%
2Q O/U 58.542%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.541%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.541%
2Q Spread -1.541%
3Q Spread -1.541%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.541%
Spread -4.540%
O/U 241.540%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.540%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.540%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.540%
Spread -3.539%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.539%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.539%
1Q Spread -2.539%
4Q O/U 61.539%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.539%
Spread -5.538%
Spread -4.538%
James Harden: Points O/U 19.538%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.538%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.538%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.538%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.538%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 0.538%
1H O/U 119.538%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.537%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.537%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 0.537%
James Harden: Steals O/U 0.537%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.537%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.537%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.537%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.536%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.536%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.536%
Spread -5.534%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 24.534%
Spread -6.533%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.533%
1H Spread -4.533%
1H Spread -3.533%
1Q Spread -3.533%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.533%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 9.533%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.533%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.532%
4Q O/U 57.532%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 9.531%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.531%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.530%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.530%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.530%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.530%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.530%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 2.530%
1Q Spread -4.530%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.530%
Spread -8.528%
Spread -7.528%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.528%
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.528%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.528%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.528%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 13.527%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.525%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.525%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.525%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.525%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.525%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.525%
Spread -9.524%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 9.524%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.524%
Spread -10.523%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.523%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.523%
1Q Spread -6.523%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.523%
O/U 251.522%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.522%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 63.522%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.521%
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.521%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.521%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 1.521%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 1.521%
Spread -12.520%
O/U 253.520%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.520%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.520%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.520%
James Harden: Steals O/U 1.520%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Spread -11.519%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.519%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.519%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.519%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.519%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.519%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.519%
James Harden: Points O/U 24.518%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.518%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.518%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.518%
James Harden: Steals O/U 2.518%
O/U 255.517%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.517%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.517%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.517%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.517%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.517%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 65.517%
Spread -14.516%
James Harden: Points O/U 29.516%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 11.516%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.516%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.516%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 3.516%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.516%
Spread -24.515%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 15.515%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.515%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.515%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.515%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 3.515%
1Q Spread -5.515%
1Q Spread -8.515%
Spread -26.514%
Spread -13.514%
O/U 257.514%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.514%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.514%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.514%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.514%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.514%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 29.514%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.514%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.514%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.514%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 2.514%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 3.514%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 3.514%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.514%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.514%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.514%
Spread -16.513%
Spread -28.513%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.513%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 34.513%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.513%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.513%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.513%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 9.513%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.513%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.513%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 24.513%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.513%
James Harden: Points O/U 34.513%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 13.513%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 7.513%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.513%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.513%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 19.513%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 67.513%
O/U 259.512%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.512%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.512%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 3.512%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 2.512%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 39.512%
Spread -22.511%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 34.511%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.511%
James Harden: Assists O/U 9.511%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 5.511%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.511%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.511%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.511%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.511%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.511%
Spread -15.510%
O/U 261.510%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.510%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.510%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.510%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.510%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 11.510%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.510%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.510%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.510%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.510%
1Q Spread -10.510%
Spread -18.59%
Spread -17.59%
O/U 263.59%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 29.59%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.59%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.59%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 2.59%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.59%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.59%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.59%
Overtime?8%
Spread -20.58%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.58%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.58%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 13.58%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.58%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.58%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.58%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 7.58%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 24.58%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.58%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 5.58%
Spread -19.57%
Spread -27.57%
O/U 265.57%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.57%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.57%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 5.57%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.57%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 19.57%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 14.57%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.57%
Spread -21.56%
Spread -25.56%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.56%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.56%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Spread -23.55%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.55%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.55%
James Harden: Assists O/U 11.55%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 5.55%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 5.55%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.55%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.55%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.54%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.54%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.54%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.54%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.54%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.53%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.53%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.53%

Markt-Kontext

Prognose: Cavaliers vs. Hawks — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 94%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is post…

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet O/U 209.5 mit 94% bei "Prognose: Cavaliers vs. Hawks".

O/U 209.5 94% Andere 6%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $558K.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Klarna Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.

Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.

Häufige Fragen

Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Klarna Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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